The difficulties behind winter weather forecasting
“Those meteorologists are never right, they get paid to be wrong!” is one of the many solipsisms we face in the weather business.
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“Those meteorologists are never right, they get paid to be wrong!” is one of the many solipsisms we face in the weather business.
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If you’re an avid outdoorsy-type, this may be something you see a lot in the fall and early winter. (Especially following warmer weather…) Sunday featured a day-time high of 59°. 15-20° warmer than average. ABC 17 promised you that wouldn’t last and quickly following a warm morning Monday, temperatures quickly dropped throughout the day. The
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The Army Corp of Engineer’s Kansas City Levee District has been in flood operations for 268 days, the longest stretch they’ve ever recorded. Historic flooding this year led to several levees being damaged or breached across Missouri. We spoke with the Army Corps of Engineers this afternoon to get an update on the levee situation
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2019 has no doubt been an active year of weather. Everything from bomb cyclones, major hurricanes, tornadoes and flooding have filled headlines all year long. Effects of these events are often immediate in the form of damage and a clean-up to follow, but other long-term effects are begin uncovered. From report released by the USDA,
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November got off to a quick start in terms of winter weather this year. The first half of November was heavily loaded with below average temperatures and a widespread, accumulating snow event. Just as quick to follow was a thaw to close the month out. You may remember our report back in October where we
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The ABC 17 StormTrack Weather Team continues a Weather Alert Day until NOON Wednesday. This is as very strong winds continue to pound the region. Max Wind Gusts Wednesday Morning (Hurricane force winds begin at 74 mph) Moberly reported the highest wind gust at 65mph, just 9 mph shy of hurricane force winds. Winds are
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TUESDAY NIGHT UPDATE (10:30 PM) Showers and thunderstorms have pushed east into Illinois tonight, with much of the severe weather impacting western Illinois and metro east St. Louis after midnight. The main impact overnight will be strong to damaging winds not associated with thunderstorms due to this very powerful system moving across the Midwest. Winds
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It was a very different day 6 months ago in mid-Missouri. We knew the atmosphere was primed for destructive weather, but no one could have predicted what would strike the capital city just before midnight on May 22nd. The storm began as a small cell near Warsaw, Missouri. As the storm passed over the Osage
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Stormy weather can be tough to navigate in general. It also means a tough time for chronic pain sufferers. Unfortunately, quantifying it in a scientific sense has never really been possible. As such, it’s been difficult for doctors and researchers to find out why this occurs. Until now. The University of Manchester in the United
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It’s cold mid-Missouri. Real cold. The coldest air we’ve seen since 1911! An impressive arctic air mass settled over mid-Missouri after a sunny, beautiful weekend. It brought snow, wind and generally miserable Monday conditions for our viewing area. Fresh snowfall and light winds overnight allowed temperatures to drop to 7 degrees this morning; this led
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The ABC 17 Stormtrack Weather Team has issued a Weather Alert Day for late tonight through Wednesday morning for expected wind chills in the single digits.
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Cold and snowy weather has been the story all across mid-Missouri today. Snowfall amounts have been pretty variable as well. Many near Jefferson city and south saw under an inch. However, some reports out of Columbia and points north have been as high as 4″. The official snowfall total at Columbia Regional Airport was 1.1″
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Several rounds of arctic cold are set to plunge into mid-Missouri in the next 10 days. The first will arrive Thursday and Friday bringing temperatures that will be 15-20 degrees below average. But, as we mentioned in last night’s insider blog, even colder weather is likely on the way as we start out next week.
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After tying the record for hottest September in mid-Missouri, we made a complete 180 throughout the month of October. We’ve already managed to see our first snowfall, along with temperatures that were some 25-30 degrees below normal for Halloween. Winter-like weather has had its way with mid-Missouri in the past week and it may get
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THURSDAY MORNING UPDATE: We’ve been receiving reports of black ice with some road temperatures slipping below freezing. Problems areas will be on bridges and overpasses as well as some on and off ramps. Especially further northwest in Mid-Missouri, where we’re seeing the coldest road temperatures. THE REST OF YOUR HALLOWEEN: Now that the heavier of
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You may hear meteorologists in the winter time to stay aware of icy bridges or overpasses, or even road signs that say “Bridges Ice Before Roads”… It may have you wondering why bridges ice up so much faster. First off, we need to know that soil/ground stores heat much very efficiently. Because of that, even
Continue ReadingMajor changes are settling in with an arctic air mass settling into Mid-Missouri this week, bringing cold temperatures and chances for rain and snow. VIDEO: Tuesday morning update WEDNESDAY MORNING: We’re tracking ongoing rain across the viewing area, but for the most part is a cold rain, with most of the viewing area above freezing.
Continue ReadingYou may hear meteorologists in the winter time to stay aware of icy bridges or overpasses, or even road signs that say “Bridges Ice Before Roads”… It may have you wondering why bridges ice up so much faster. First off, we need to know that soil/ground stores heat much very efficiently. Because of that, even
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You may have heard the term Polar Vortex thrown around in national media stories before, especially during cold outbreaks. While the term may seem scary it’s a very real phenomenon that always exists in our atmosphere… and typically isn’t something we need to worry about The Polar Vortex is defined as the spinning mass of
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Major changes are on the way with an arctic air mass settling into Mid-Missouri this week, bringing cold temperatures and chances for rain and snow. A cold front has pushed south across the area Monday, with cold air filtering in through this evening. Rain moves in late tonight as another wave of energy tracks into
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