Tracking a mild New Year’s Day before a stormy start to the week

TODAY: The new year almost feels like a new season as temperatures creep near 60 today. Isolated light drizzle is possible with a front stalling across the area.

TOMORROW: The warm front lifts north early Monday, triggering potential scattered showers before the afternoon. Stronger storms are still possible late in the day as temperatures warm. We likely reach the 60s midafternoon, with more unstable air entering southern Missouri. This will lead to a marginal threat of severe storms from the Lake across to Gasconade County and areas southward from 3 p.m. to midnight. Wind gusts up to 50 mph and small hail are possible from the strongest storms. Overall the threat is still low for Mid-Missouri with heavy rainfall affecting most.

EXTENDED: Due to the progressive nature of the early week system, rainfall totals are generally below 1 inch, though localized flooding is possible under heavy downpours. Rain comes to an end before the Tuesday commute and a cold front works its way through the area during the day. This drops temperatures back to seasonal levels with daily highs in the upper 30s most of the week.