Tracking a mild Thursday followed by a few storms overnight into Friday

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and cool as winds die down. Lows in the mid-upper 40s with patchy fog possible in valleys.

TOMORROW: Mostly sunny to start with highs in the upper 70s.

EXTENDED: A few storms are possible on Thursday night ahead of a warm front that will lift through the region on Friday. As low level winds increase overnight, we'll see an increase in moisture across the region, setting the stage for a more humid and warm day on the south side of the warm front on Friday. A couple storms could produce small hail between late Thursday night and Friday morning. Highs will reach the upper 80s on Friday, with a chance of storms late in the evening near where the fronts will lie to our north. The Storm Prediction Center has portions of northern Mid-Missouri in a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe weather for quarter size hail and damaging winds, but the better environment at this point looks to lie to our north overnight into Saturday morning. If we see those ingredients shift south, a Weather Alert Day may be in order. Saturday will be warm and humid, with enough instability for a few isolated storms during the day. Overnight, storms ahead of a warm front to our west could fire up and bring isolated strong winds and small hail after midnight into Sunday morning, but the highest risk for severe weather will lie across western and northwest Missouri. Sunday looks to be the hottest day of the weekend with high pressure centered right over us, pulling in warm and humid air from the south. We'll see highs approach 90 degrees. It appears the most likely chance for severe weather in Mid-Missouri in the near term could be Monday, with plenty of wind shear and a ton of instability ahead of a cold front that will move through Monday night into Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center already has a wide level 2/5 severe risk for the region in place. Daily rain amounts will be under 0.5", but Monday could bring a solid 1"-1.25" with a better chance of organized storms.