Tracking gusty winds and warmer temperatures Tuesday before storms move in
TONIGHT: Mostly clear and cold with lows in the mid-30s.
TOMORROW: Partly sunny and breezy with highs in the upper 60s. Storms move in late, likely after midnight.
EXTENDED: We're looking at a cold night with some patchy frost north, followed by a warm up into the upper 60s tomorrow and gusty winds reaching 30 mph or so. We're dry throughout the day with highs in the upper 60s. I'm tracking storms developing out to our west ahead of the cold front late tomorrow night, with storms entering our northwestern counties after midnight. These storms will pose a risk for large hail and perhaps a strong wind gust or two, and will be strongest north of I-70 before losing steam overnight. Wednesday's severe threat will be conditional on where the front ends up, but points east of the boundary will have the potential of all severe hazards. The highest risk looks to lie east of Highway 54 by early afternoon, with the severe threat ending here by or before the evening commute. There's currently a level 3/5 risk for the eastern half of Mid-Missouri. The aforementioned front will stall to our south for the next several days, and low level winds look to increase along that boundary through the weekend, bringing waves of rain and a few storms. Rain amounts will be highest near I-44, where 4-5" will be possible between Wednesday and Saturday. Farther north, we can expect 4-day rain totals between 1-3", with the higher end of that range near the Lake of the Ozarks. Severe weather isn't expected with those rounds, but look for river rises. Temperatures will be right around average through Friday, but cool down below normal for the weekend. Overnight lows dip to near freezing on Monday and Tuesday morning, so planting isn't a great idea yet.
