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Tracking mostly dry weather tonight and early Friday, severe storms tomorrow night

TONIGHT: Cloudy and cool, with temperatures remaining in the 50s. Scattered storms will pass to our northwest after midnight, possibly brushing Sedalia, Brunswick, and Macon, but this mostly remains out of our area.

TOMORROW: Rain in western Missouri in the morning, with more isolated activity possible through the day. Skies will be cloudier to the west with those showers and storms, but more sunshine is expected to the east. Temperatures will at least reach the upper 70s by the afternoon, possibly hitting 80 degrees if we see less clouds and rain. An ABC 17 Stormtrack Weather Alert Day will go into effect at 5 p.m. Friday afternoon for a risk of severe storms capable of all hazards, including a few tornadoes, into Friday night. More details can be found on our Insider Blog and in the extended forecast below.

EXTENDED: A few scenarios for severe weather are possible on Friday night. If we stay drier and warmer, supercells could begin firing up in western Missouri and track into our area by 5 to 6 p.m., bringing a risk of tornadoes and all other severe hazards. If there is more rain during the day on Friday, we likely won't see as many evening supercells develop. Supercells could be our main threat through 8 to 9 p.m. before the cold front arrives and produces a line of thunderstorms through midnight. All hazards will again be possible with this line of storms, primarily damaging straight-line winds, with a tornado threat and large hail also possible. The severe threat will likely drop quickly after midnight, with a mostly dry and mild weekend in the 50s and 60s. However, an active pattern will return early next week, with another chance of strong storms by Tuesday.

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Nate Splater

Nate forecasts on the weekend edition of ABC 17 News This Morning on KMIZ and FOX 22, KQFX and reports on climate stories for the ABC 17 Stormtrack Climate Matters weekdays.

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