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Tracking a system that brings rain and snow tonight

TODAY: Wednesday's winds will be somewhat variable through the day. The will start from the southwest, but as a trough of low pressure sits at the surface, it will shift to the north for many through the day as the trough meanders southeast. This won't do much for temperatures other than keep many of us from reaching 60. This will end up being the north side of the warm front that's tied to tonight's rain. We'll start mostly sunny to partly cloudy, and add clouds through the day. Expect a high for most in the upper 50s.

TONIGHT: Rain returns after 8 p.m. in the west, and will be widely scattered, and fairly light through the overnight. At some point closer to 4-5 a.m. we'll start to see a changeover to snow. This will likely be a mix at first, before transitioning to all snow shortly before it stops. Dry cold air rushing in behind this system will help convert precip to snow, but it will also limit accumulations. Additionally, ground temperatures are likely going to stay warm. With a warm ground, air temperatures hovering near or just below freezing, and a short window of snowfall, accumulation looks minimal. Currently the forecast remains for a dusting along and north of a line from Sedalia to Mexico. Isolated higher totals are possible, but unlikely and won't stick around long.

EXTENDED: Any accumulation doesn't have much staying power as we're back above freezing on Friday if we don't make it Thursday. Precipitation wraps up by mid-morning on Thursday, and more sunshine returns Friday. We'll warm to near 50 on Saturday, reaching mid-to-high 50s on Sunday and Monday. This will precede a system that brings widespread rain chances to start next week.

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John Ross


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