WEATHER ALERT DAY: Severe storms Friday evening throughout the overnight hours

UPDATE: Friday evening

Timing of storms Storms will arrive around 6 p.m. near Brunswick and Marshall, before spreading east through the night.

Storms will have severe potential all the way across mid-Missouri.

SETUP:

In the upper atmosphere, high pressure is still staying strong. We aren't seeing as many impacts heat wise from this system, but the placement still means we are seeing northwest winds. These types of winds are keeping us in an active pattern as we've seen the past couple of days, which also means we have more chances for rain and thunderstorm activity if the ingredients are there.

Keeping that in mind, tonight looks to be indicative of more activity. Yes, there is a high pressure system aloft, but there is this low pressure still at the surface in Kansas.

Ahead of this low we are still seeing the effects of a a stationary boundary and a low-level jet stream, bringing us moisture and lift. This moisture will give storms the ability to have plenty of rain, and the lift will help generate/fuel these storm systems. This low-level jet stream is still moving slowly, meaning there will be little movement from east to west with this storm system developing tonight. More of the movement will once again come with the upper level jet stream, since it will be still moving parallel to our surface boundary.

TIMING:

Our Weather Alert Day officially ends until midnight on Saturday. We are expecting storms to be weakening and moving out of Mid-Missouri by this time. Main storms will be entering our counties right around 5 PM tonight. After midnight, threats keep pushing to the east, and it's looking a bit more quiet overnight.

The start time for these storms are 5-6 PM in the northwestern parts of Mid-Missouri as they have a east to southeast movement. These storms will be gaining strength as they enter our central counties.

The storm system is becoming more widespread after 6-7 PM, entering our central counties and also carrying severe potential as they move through.

After midnight, there could be some more isolated rain chances, but severe chances move off to the east for the rest of the night.

IMPACTS:

The main threats with this system are winds up to 60 mph and hail up to 1 inch. We could also see more localized flooding because of the placement of this system. There is a very low chance of tornadic activity, but the threat is not zero.