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Timing the rain this week

There are rain chances in the ABC17 Stormtrack forecast nearly every day this week but that doesn’t mean it will rain at your location each of those days. Since our forecast covers 23 counties in Mid-Missouri, there are days that the rain chance is only for part of that area and this week is a good example.

The first chance comes Tuesday night as a cold front drops south into northern Missouri to near HWY 24. While the best rain chance is north of HWY 36 Wednesday morning, there is a chance of a few showers or t-storms as far south as a Brunswick to Moberly to Paris line.

Southerly winds ahead of a strengthening low pressure area in northeast Kansas will cause the frontal boundary to move back north as a warm front through Wednesday afternoon, taking storm chances into far northern Missouri.

As the low pressure system tracks east, it will drag a cold front south through Mid-Missouri Wednesday night. A line of showers and t-storms will move to the southeast overnight and weaken. The best chance of rain Wednesday night will be northwest of HWY 54. There is also a chance of a strong or severe storm as the line moves in.

A few showers are possible mainly south of I-70 Thursday morning, possibly lingering into early afternoon as the cold front slowly pushes south.

The best chance of rain comes Friday night through Saturday as a strong storm system passes through southern Missouri, bringing periods of rain. Heavy rain is possible with up to 2.50″ closer to I-44 with lower amounts north.

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