Tracking one last warm day ahead of a cool down
TODAY: We're bright today, with sunshine back in the forecast. We're somewhat divided temperature wise across the area, with a boundary introducing some cooler air in the north. We'll likely still see upper 60s in Columbia and Jefferson City, but this may keep some north of Moberly in the 50s today.
TONIGHT: This boundary will turn into a cold front and make progress to the southeast. As it does so, it will bring a chance for showers, and with a modest amount of instability, we may be able to hear a rumble of thunder or two.
EXTENDED: We're back to more typical February temps behind the front on Saturday, with highs in the 40s. We'll be cloudy, but dry Saturday and Sunday, with a few peaks of sunshine. Temperatures on Sunday are likely in the low 40s, a hair cooler than Saturday. A chance for rain moves in with an area of low pressure approaching late Sunday night. This system likely passes south of us, but the track and strength of the system will determine how much of us see precipitation and what kind. At some point overnight, the type of precipitation will likely switch to snow, or at least a rain/snow mix. This has generated a chance for some accumulating snow depending on the evolution of this system. Still, there's a wide range of possible tracks for snow accumulation, and the actual swath of accumulating snow is expected to be narrow. So, this still could land somewhere north or south of I-44, but the general track will be somewhere near and parallel to the interstate. Accumulation ranges are still widely varying, from near nothing, to a couple of inches. This will also have to fight a warm ground, and borderline air temperatures, so details are still fuzzy. Stay tuned to the forecast. Generally, things look mild and dry next week, with highs near 50.