Mid-Missouri’s summer extended forecast
The Climate Prediction Center has released this upcoming summers forecast for the United States of America. This forecast covers the months of June, July, and August. The main features of this forecast breaks down the precipitation outlook and the temperature outlook for this 90 day time period.
When forecasting long-range weather, typically meteorologist and climatologist turn their attention to the Southern Oscillation. From here, patterns reveal themselves through sea surface temperatures in the eastern and Western pacific Ocean. The three main patterns are La Nina, El Nino, and Enso-Neutral. The past three years the United States has been underneath and La Nina pattern, but forecast are pointing towards El Nino patterns this summer and this upcoming winter. During typical El Nino conditions, Central Missouri along with much of the Midwest sees cooler than average conditions.
El Nino and La Nina typically have more substantial impacts during the winter months as the Polar jet stream is too far north in Canada. During this years summer forecast, the El Nino conditions will help bring temperatures down slightly, but conditions are still trending warmer than average for most of the United States. Other major atmospheric patterns and influences will pay a leading role in this years forecast
Wetter than average conditions are expected across Mid-Missouri and southeastern portions of the United States throughout the next three months providing some hope for relief from the worsen drought conditions experienced across the region.
Temperatures are looking near average for the Midwest this summer, but for the majority of the southern half of the United States will see warmer than average temperatures.