Tracking severe storms into Tuesday

TODAY: Temperatures start out mild in the 50s and climb to the mid-70s through a mostly cloudy day. Winds will be breezy with gusts up to 25 mph.

TONIGHT: A front to our north could trigger a few showers and thunderstorms overnight, with a low risk of quarter size hail in northeast Missouri.

EXTENDED: The front lifts back north as a warm front early Tuesday while gusty winds in the low levels of the atmosphere kick up moisture and increase temperatures into the lower 80s across the region. This will set up a risk for severe storms Tuesday afternoon which you can find more details on here. We'll have a lot of instability to work with, but it appears there may be too much of a warm layer in the lowest section of the atmosphere to get many storms to fire up during the day. If storms do develop, they will pose a risk of severe weather, including large hail and tornadoes. The more likely scenario would be for isolated supercell storms to form near the warm front across northwest Missouri, with a line of storms developing along the cold front late Tuesday night that would bring a damaging wind threat to Mid-Missouri into Wednesday morning. After storms pass, we'll see cooler temperatures for the rest of the week as highs only reach the 50s, with a drier pattern settling in.