TONIGHT: Isolated storms possible early, with heavy rain and strong storms moving in after midnight. 1-2" of rain could cause localized flooding into Wednesday morning. Lows in the lower 60s.
TOMORROW: Strong storms early, clouds linger through mid-afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s.
EXTENDED: A spot storm or two is possible near a warm front early this evening, but most of the storms are still on track to move in late tonight. The timing has pushed back a bit with the main complex of storms arriving between 1:00 and 3:00 a.m. for our western counties, and into Columbia and Jefferson City likely between 4:00 and 6:00 a.m. As it moves east, the intensity will begin to drop as the mass of storms moves into a more stable environment. The main concern will be flooding rain with 1-2" likely, along with quarter size hail and isolated 60 mph wind gusts. Rain should come to an end by mid-morning, with clouds holding on into early afternoon. As clouds exit, temperatures bounce back into the low to mid-80s. Thursday is looking like the driest and hottest day of the week with high pressure overhead, allowing little cloud cover to keep us cool. Highs reach the upper 80s on Thursday and Friday ahead of another cold front that will sweep through sometime between Friday night and Saturday morning. There will be a few factors at play to determine any severe threat for Friday. We'll have plenty of instability, but we'll have another atmospheric cap or temperature inversion of warmer air just above the surface that could keep a lid on storms through much of the day. If this happens, not much storm activity would happen until evening along the front, and could end up being weaker. If storms break through the cap ahead of the front early on Friday, they'll have the potential to become severe. If the front slows down, the better shot of storms will be overnight Friday into Saturday. Behind the front, temperatures will be cooler with lingering showers on Saturday, along with highs in the upper 60s. Sunday looks like the nicer day of the weekend with highs in the upper 60s to near 70.