When does mid-Missouri see its first snow?

We're still a ways away...

Heavy snow fell across Iowa yesterday... and today, more early-season snow across Minnesota. Now, it's not uncommon these places see flakes fly this early, but to have major accumulations this early is impressive. Some locations broke all-time October records!

With all this early season snow, it may have you wondering if mid-Missouri has a chance any time soon.

First, let's take a look at averages. Keep in mind, these are when we see typically see our first flakes. On average, the first accumulating snow follows by 2 or so weeks.

November 29th is the average date that Columbia Regional Airport has seen their first flakes in the past 100+ years of data.

A look at the average first snow map, even for the folks up north, this week's snow has been impressive. It's not for another 2-4 weeks Minnesota and Iowa see their average first snow.

And there has been some chatter about this pattern slipping south into mid-Missouri next week...

Here's what we know right now...

Forecast models for next week have signals for lots of cold air to push our direction, along with quite a bit of moisture to work with. At this time frame, this is the best information we can reliably provide. The "snow-in-mid-Missouri" question is better saved for a few days from now.

You may see social media posts that show forecast model snow predictions. Those are typically cherry-picked pieces of data to get clicks/shares. If you'd like reliable information on any chances for wintry weather, stick with ABC 17.

While we can't answer the "Will it snow?" question right now, you can bet we're watching it closely.

Expect more updates in the coming days!

-Luke