Tracking warm air and dry time with storm chances through end of week

TODAY: Wednesday brings a better chance for rain, but we'll still have dry time. Some thunderstorms near Kansas City this morning will drift east towards us, bringing mostly a shower, but also a weak thunderstorm chance through the morning. This will primarily impact those west of Columbia and Jefferson City. Those in the east will stay dry. These will have a notable dry layer below them, so most of this may evaporate before it reaches the ground. Nonetheless, it will contribute to a cloudy start. More sunshine likely returns this afternoon, but around sunset, clouds will again increase in the west ahead of another thunderstorm complex that will drift our way while it dies. This will miss most of us, but we can't rule out some showers up north. High temperatures are warm again today, in the upper 70s to near 80.

TONIGHT: Overnight, we stay mostly dry, with partly cloudy skies. Temperatures fall into the low 60s and upper 50s with a light variable breeze.

EXTENDED: On Thursday, south winds return during the day, and push temperatures near 80 once more. We'll have a modest increase in instability, leading to a few isolated to scattered thunderstorms developing by the afternoon. These won't have much structural support aloft, so severe weather is not expected. On Friday, we stand to see even more instability, so storms will be possible again, but the same problem remains, so severe weather is generally unlikely, but not impossible. We'll be cooler, in the low 70s Friday and Saturday, with drier weather on Saturday. Sunday brings more rain chances that linger into next week.