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Tracking a two-day threat for large hail and damaging winds

TODAY: Wednesday is an ABC 17 Stormtrack Weather Alert Day, with potential for very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. Most of the day is warm and quiet, with temperatures warming into the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies. Winds will be from the southwest near 5-10 mph through the day.

TONIGHT: Storms will develop near the 6-7 p.m. hour somewhere through the heart of the region near Columbia and Jefferson City. These storms will push northward through the evening, posing a risk for all severe risks, but primarily hail and damaging winds. The tornado threat is low.

EXTENDED: These storms lift northward, and exit the region by midnight to 3 a.m., but outflow from these storms will like trigger redevelopment back south into mid-Missouri through the early morning Thursday. This activity will spread southeast, leaving us potentially wet through sunrise. Severe risk here will be limited, but some hail and/or wind could be a threat. A more potent threat of storms will develop again in the afternoon, as instability and moisture remains across the region, ahead of a cold front that will bring another round of storms with potential for large hail and damaging winds from west to east. These storms will develop sometime after noon, likely by 2-3 p.m. and push east into the evening on Thursday. Thursday is warm ahead of the storms, with highs again in the upper 70s, but we'll cool on Friday, with highs reaching only into the 50s with clouds and north winds dominating the forecast. We'll rebound into the 60s on Saturday, but find temps dropping again into Sunday, with highs in the 50s Sunday and 40s Monday, before 50s potentially returning by Tuesday.

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John Ross

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