A glimpse into the Christmas forecast
Approaching Mid-December means many people have Christmas on their mind. With Christmas many people think of snow and look forward to the prospect of a White Christmas. What is it looking like for Christmas of 2023?
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In Columbia, we see a 22% chance of having a "White Christmas." A white Christmas is defined by an inch of snow or more on the ground on Christmas day. Based off of climatological norms, the chances already look low.
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According to the extended 6-10 day away temperature outlook, trends are favoring above average temperatures. The average temperature sits into the lower 40s for much of the second half of December. This paints a picture that temperatures are looking more likely to be too warm to create the conditions for a snow event.
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Precipitation trends during this same time period look to remain at or just above normal showing the available moisture needed could be available for a event if temperatures fell. This means to keep your hopes low for a white Christmas. This falls in lines with the El Nino conditions seen in Mid-Missouri during winter months where we usually see warmer and wetter than average conditions.