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Tracking overnight thunderstorms that bring locally heavy rain

TONIGHT: After steady showers through the day, rainfall will gradually come to an end this evening, and skies will begin to clear for some, especially in the north. Storms will redevelop near midnight, brings heavy rain and an isolated chance for hail. Our biggest concern will be for flash flooding anywhere storms develop, as these storms will likely form in a northwest to southeast oriented line, and move mostly parallel to that line, with little west to east movement. This means some will have the opportunity to receive impressive rain amounts greater than one inch, but most will not.

TOMORROW: These storms will likely be ongoing in the morning, and linger through the first half of Tuesday. This may have a widespread cooling affect keeping many in the low 80s, if not the 70s. Folks near Warsaw will be the warmest, as much warmer conditions lie just to our southwest. Here we may still see 90s.

EXTENDED: This same pattern lingers on Wednesday and Thursday. Tuesday night, we may see storms develop in the same fashion. This slow moving and training line of storms will bring potentially more heavy rain, but this time further east as the boundary and low level jet that is feeding it slowly pushes east. This may also have a cooling effect on Wednesday, keeping us in the 80s. Still, the pressure from the heat to the west is on, and the further the rain pushes east, the closer the heat gets from the west. Wednesday night into Thursday, a similar pattern may develop even further east. Our highs on Thursday are more likely to once again reach 90s. Chances for isolated to scattered rain dot the forecast into the weekend, with daily highs expected in the low 90s Friday and Saturday, ahead of a cold front that may return us to the 80s early next week.

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John Ross

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