Tracking healthy shower chances through midweek
TODAY: Tuesday is overall, going to be a mild and cloudy day for mid-Missouri. Some, however, will see some scattered showers, while most stay dry. Rain showers are ongoing early this morning for folks in the south and east, near Lake of the Ozarks, Jefferson City, Vienna, Rolla, and Montgomery City. This is where we expect continued shower chances for the rest of the day. Folks north of this swath, like Sedalia, Columbia, and Mexico, will have a chance for a few drops, but should remain mostly dry. Temperatures will be a tad warmer where it doesn't rain, in the low 50s, while those who see persistent showers may remain in the high 40s.
TONIGHT: The stalled boundary tied to these showers will sit just to our south overnight, keeping clouds over half of mid-MO. Those under clouds will stay warm overnight. This will be most of us, even those who may not necessarily have seen much rain. We could realistically see a situation where clear skies leaves Brunswick, Macon, and Moberly in the 20s early Wednesday, where those in in Sedalia, Columbia, Jefferson City, and south stay in the 30s and 40s thanks to insulating clouds.
EXTENDED: This cloud cover and rainfall will start to push north on Wednesday. Current estimates on timing have most of us dry to start the day, with rain showers pushing all the way north to Macon by the dinner hour. This will be a soaker, but not necessarily a wash out, with anywhere from a half an inch in the far north, to up to two inches near I-44 being possible. The bulk of the rain, even for those in the south, will fall Wednesday, especially later in the day. Temps will be varied on Wednesday north to south, so expect highs in the 30s and 40s respectively. On the back side of this system, snow will try to mix in late Wednesday night and early Thursday morning, but no accumulations or impacts are expected. The low that is driving rainfall, will move away, but another quick system is on it's heels. Expect partly cloudy and dry conditions on Thursday, with a high in the 40s, before light snow showers pass through overnight into early Friday. This is where we could pick up a trace of snow, depending on how quickly it moves through. Either way, highs are in the upper 30s and low 40s Friday afternoon, so it won't stick around long. Warmer and drier weather arrives for the weekend.
