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Tracking a slow moving front set to bring rounds of rain over the weekend

TODAY: Dewpoints will trend a little higher today, and so will temperatures through the morning. At the same time, a cold front will drop into mid-Missouri by the early afternoon. Along and ahead of the front, showers will try to drift into our northern counties. Folks north of I-70 may encounter a sprinkle or two this morning. The better chance for rain will come in the afternoon as the cold front makes it's way into the region. The front will generate a chance for thunderstorms. Placement of storms depends on where and when the front can encounter better instability. By the early afternoon, recent guidance suggests that daytime warming will help the front generate thunderstorms near I-70. An isolated strong storm is possible with some gusty winds or small hail, but widespread severe weather is not anticipated at this time. The best rain will be centered near the front, wherever it sets up, so likely near I-70. Afternoon highs will vary greatly from north to south across the front. To the north, expect 80s, to the south, mid-to-upper 90s is possible.

TONIGHT: Storms will turn to showers as the sun sets. Some break from the rain may come overnight. The front will have stalled at this point, keeping rain chances over mid-MO. At some point overnight, another impulse along the front will generate more showers, and possibly even some thunder into the Saturday morning hours. Temperatures will vary widely still by early Saturday morning, from the 60s to mid 70s.

EXTENDED: As of recent guidance, the best chances for rain will come in the morning, so there is some hope for those hoping to get outside Saturday evening. Still, this is subject to change as long as the front is nearby, so stay glued to the forecast. Saturday, temperatures are overall cooler, but still varying from the 70s to 80s north to south. By Sunday, we're still tracking rain, but the front is expected to lift northward throughout the day. This will keep generally drier weather in the forecast by Sunday night. Sunday, temperatures will generally warm to upper 80s. By Monday, Independence Day, temperatures will climb into the mid 90s, as sunshine returns, and winds are back out of the south. Heat and humidity is the trend for next week, with little chance for rain each day.

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John Ross

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