Two rounds of severe weather within 48 hours
WEDNESDAY: Storms are tracking into northern Missouri this morning and weakening as they do so, but most of Mid-Missouri will stay dry for the AM commute. We’ll have a warm, breezy and partly sunny day with high temperatures reaching the mid 80s which is more like early June. Winds will come in from the south at 15 mph, gusting up to 28 mph, making it feel slightly humid.
TONIGHT: After a warm, dry day storm chances will increase late this evening. Ahead of a boundary, a line of strong to severe storms is expected to develop in northwestern Missouri that will begin to track to the south and east into Mid-Missouri by 10 PM tonight. Areas north and west of I-70 have the best chance to see strong to severe storms overnight with an enhanced risk of severe weather. Most of mid-Missouri is under a slight risk, but close to I-44 in Phelps and Pulaski Counties the threat is downgraded to marginal. Tonight’s storms bring the greatest threat for damaging winds, with large hail possible. High winds in excess of 58 mph with gusty conditions look likely. The highest risk for an isolated tornado or two is just to the northwest of the area, but is not out of the question for us.
EXTENDED: Lingering showers and t-storms will continue Thursday morning through 11 AM and some of these still could be on the strong to severe side for the AM commute. The rain and heavy cloud coverage early in the day tomorrow will limit the severe threat for tomorrow afternoon, however if clouds break through the day sunshine will provide way for more storm initiation. West of mid-Missouri there could be some clearing skies tomorrow afternoon, which will allow for daytime heating to provide fuel for severe storms. Across northwest portions of mid-Missouri there is a continued enhanced risk, east of HWY 63 shows a slight risk. However, if storms initialize we could see some with damaging winds, large hail, and an isolated tornado. The final round of storms moves out as the cold front pushes to the southeast by Friday morning.
