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Strong cold front to bring an enhanced risk of severe storms tonight

TONIGHT: It will be a stormy night across Mid-Missouri, as a strong cold front to our northwest will track through the region. Ahead of the frontal boundary, most of Mid-Missouri is either under a slight or enhanced risk of severe weather. This means that damaging winds, large hail, and an isolated tornado threat are highly possible. The storms look to arrive after sunset and quickly track to the southeast. Initial storms will likely be supercellular, meaning our greatest threat for tornadoes will lie within these storms. As the front tracks off to the southeast, the line will become linear and our threat quickly shifts to damaging winds. A lot of wind energy is associated with this system, as winds through the night will be out of the WNW up to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30. The storms look to approach Columbia and Jefferson City from 10 to midnight, with the line weakening as it tracks to the southeast.Heavy rain is likely with some of the storms. Most areas will see .50″ to 1.0″ rainfall with local amounts up to 1.5″ possible. Temperatures tonight will quickly fall into the upper 40s and lower 50s, with Sunday’s high occurring around midnight.

SUNDAY: Lingering showers and storms will be near Interstate 44 through the morning hours Sunday, with decreasing clouds from north to south. With a midnight high we can expect temperatures to fall through most of the day, with temperatures in the mid to upepr 50s by the afternoon hours. Winds will be quite gusty out of the NW up to 30 mph, making it feel even cooler. As high pressure builds into the Plains, we’ll see several days of pleasant and sunny weather.

EXTENDED: Sunday night will be the coldest night yet this season as we drop to near 40 with upper 30s possible north of I-70. Next week will start mild and dry with high temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s and cool nights. As high pressure tracks off to the east, we’ll see a return flow of warmth and moisture. This will lead to increasing temperatures through most of next week, with high climbing into the upper 70s and lows into the 60s by the end of next week. Our next chanace of rain doesn’t look to arrive until we head into next weekend. Watch ABC17 News for the latest forecast and follow ABC17 Stormtrack on Twitter for updates.

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