8 PM TUESDAY UPDATE: The Marginal to Slight risk of severe storms continues Tuesday night but the Slight Risk area has been shifted farther east to include Phelps and Pulaski counties. It is in this area that there is a better chance of a storm which could produce damaging wind and large hail. The tornado threat is very low and south of I-44.
ORIGINAL STORY: Much of the day looks dry, while storms will increase this evening from the west near HWY 65. Counties shaded in yellow are under the Slight Risk which includes a 15% probability for damaging wind and large hail. The Marginal Risk has also been expanded to include areas north of I-70 up to HWY 24 overnight.
Here are the probability maps:
The Ozarks has the greatest chance for storms to produce damage overnight through Wednesday morning. Heavy rain will also be on going, and minor localized flooding will be possible where 1″ to 2″ is likely by tomorrow morning. Highest rain amounts up to 2.5″ look possible over Saline, Chariton, Howard, and Pettis counties. A Moderate Flood Stage is possible along the Grand River at Sumner by Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Creeks and low water crossing nearby could flood by Wednesday morning. For additional weather updates follow @ABC17Stormtrack on Twitter.