Tracking strong storms by tomorrow afternoon, heavy rain into Wednesday morning

TONIGHT: Increasing clouds, rain and a few storms by early tomorrow morning. Lows falling into the upper 60s.

TOMORROW: Scattered showers and a few storms early, highs reaching in the lower 80s. Strong storms possible by early evening with damaging winds and heavy rain into the night.

EXTENDED: Wildfire smoke will finally drift east as winds shift to the south through tonight, keeping temperatures in the upper 60s. We'll see increasing clouds and showers developing to the west overnight, moving into Mid-Missouri by or shortly before daybreak tomorrow. Rain and a few storms will continue through mid-morning, with a potential break by midday. That break could help the atmosphere recharge for another, stronger round by evening ahead of a cold front that will slowly work east and eventually stall over the area through this week. The main concern with storms tomorrow will be damaging winds to 60 mph and flash flooding as the front stalls and rainfall rates reach 1-2" per hour on the leading edge of the front. The window for severe storms will be from about 4:00 p.m. through midnight or so before they lose energy to remain severe. Despite the severe threat ending, rain sticks around and could cause some flooding issues overnight, especially in prone areas. A Flood Watch is in effect almost area wide from tomorrow night through Wednesday morning for 1-3" plus locally higher amounts. The stalled front hangs out through the end of the week, bringing repeated rounds of rain and storms, but the severe threat looks fairly low after tomorrow. The same upper flow pattern sticks around into the weekend, so we could see some low-end rain chances and temperatures near our seasonal average through Sunday before the pattern shifts back to the northwest next week.