Tracking a strong system expected to bring storms, wind, snow, and cold
TODAY: Tuesday is a wet day, with rain expected areawide. Half an inch to an inch of rain is expected from multiple rounds of showers and storms. Round one started around 3 a.m. this morning. This round will bring elevated storms with potential for small to large hail. These storms will produce abundant lighting with the strongest cells as well. This round will continue to scatter across the region through 9 a.m. before round two moves in from the west. There is very little severe threat with this round, as these storms will be moving into a weaker environment as they push into mid-Missouri. This round will bring the bulk of our rain, as it brings widespread showers and storms from late morning to early afternoon. If this round can clear fast enough, we'll have a chance for redevelopment around 4 p.m. to 7 p.m. In areas that clear first from Sedalia to Camdenton, we will have our best and just about only chance for hail, damaging winds, or a possible tornado. The threat for severe is also low in this window, if it materializes at all. Overall, severe weather is generally unlikely today, but we have a few windows where we will want to be weather aware. Temperatures remain in the 50s through the day.
TONIGHT: The cold front will pass from 7-10 p.m., but a secondary front will be on the way for early Wednesday morning. This will bring a sharp increase in wind speeds, a quick drop in temperatures, and a transition from light rain to blowing snow.
EXTENDED: Temperatures fall into the 30s by Wednesday morning, but they will feel like teens in the wind. Winds will be sustained from the northwest around 20-30 mph, but you should expect gusts up to 50-55 mph. This will effectively be a wall of wind arriving around midnight in the west near Sedalia, and near HWY 63 by 3-4 a.m. This will create for possible low visibility conditions when you factor in the snowfall coming in the wind. Wind will be an issue all day, with gusts up to 30-40 mph possible into the evening. Snow will begin around 5-6 a.m. in the west, and taper off through 3-5 p.m. in the east. Minor accumulations at most are expected on elevated and grassy surfaces. Temperatures fall from the 40s, into the low 30s by Wednesday afternoon. The rest of the week will be much quieter, with 40s for highs on Thursday ahead of some showers overnight into Friday. Friday's highs return to 50s. A mild and quiet weekend is in store, with sunshine and 50s expected Saturday and Sunday.