Tracking our first real battle with winter

TONIGHT: Ongoing showers and flurries will come to an end this evening as moisture shifts to the east tonight. Temperatures will linger in the 30's through the night into early Thursday.

THURSDAY: Drier conditions are in store for Thursday, but clouds stick around in some respect. Still some sunshine will make Thursday overall brighter with partly cloudy skies. Surface winds will slowly return to the southerly direction to match winds aloft. Thursday ends warmer with highs approaching mid to upper 40's, depending on how quickly skies clear and how fast winds shift.

EXTENDED: We make it to the upper 50’s to low 60’s on Friday despite clouds increasing throughout the day. Our next disturbance moves in late Friday night into Saturday, bringing showers at first, before transitioning to more wintry conditions.

Temperatures will fall throughout the day on Saturday, eventually making it to the freezing mark. Rain that will have moved in overnight will then change to snow likely sometime around sunrise. From then, the question will be how long can we hang on to the moisture. If we can keep it around, we’ll need to talk about accumulating snow. That part’s a bit uncertain. What we do know is there’s a lot of cold air surging in with this system. Lows will fall into the low teens and single digits Saturday night, with a wind chill likely down to zero. Highs on Sunday look to be stuck in the upper 20’s and low 30’s, but we’ll rebound quickly next week. We’ll get back to normal on Monday and Tuesday, with temperatures warming into the upper 40’s and low 50’s.