Tracking a warm-up for Friday, rounds of rain this weekend
TONIGHT: Decreasing clouds and chilly, lows in the low 40s.
TOMORROW: Increasing clouds and breezy with west winds up to 20 mph. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.
EXTENDED: Spotty showers will be possible through Saturday morning, with a possible break during the day. There is still some uncertainty in model forecast guidance regarding the track of low pressure and the associated warm front, but the latest runs indicate there may be a bit of a jog north with the front on Saturday. Temperatures during the day make it to the lower 60s, with showers and storms breaking out across central Kansas during the day. We'll get the leftovers from this as it grows upscale and a disturbance rides along the frontal boundary Saturday night into Sunday. This is where we'll get a majority of the rain over the weekend, likely after midnight Saturday night through Sunday morning. There could be a few strong wind gusts leftover, but given the poor timing and the atmospheric "cap" that will be in place, we may fare well with this round. However, heavy rain continues to be a threat and with the front shifting north, most of Mid-Missouri could end up with 1-2" of rainfall between Saturday night and Sunday, and potentially higher amounts where we have some heavier thunderstorms. Localized flooding can't be ruled out at this point, but no watches or advisories have been issued yet. Rain looks to hold into Sunday morning, but potentially ease a bit by late afternoon. If that's the case, we could end up with a little dry time for Mother's Day, but count on the grass being quite soggy if you're holding onto outdoor plans. Temperatures Sunday remain in the lower 60s. The front slides to our south on Sunday night into Monday, keeping rain chances at bay to start the week. However, upper high pressure from Canada will keep us consistently cool through much of the week with highs in the lower 60s and lows in the low to mid-40s. Another system mid-week could increase the chance for rain by Wednesday.
